Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on August 25 will likely reach 31–33°C under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with typical late-August subsidence and light winds, supports this range near seasonal averages rather than an intense heat episode. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential beyond 33°C, with no incoming warm advection or reduced sea breeze expected to elevate readings further. These stable conditions explain the market’s strong preference for 33°C (58% implied probability) over higher outcomes, while the 24.5% on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in peak timing and exact measurement location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 58%
34°C 26%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
58%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
34°C 26%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
58%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on August 25 will likely reach 31–33°C under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with typical late-August subsidence and light winds, supports this range near seasonal averages rather than an intense heat episode. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential beyond 33°C, with no incoming warm advection or reduced sea breeze expected to elevate readings further. These stable conditions explain the market’s strong preference for 33°C (58% implied probability) over higher outcomes, while the 24.5% on 34°C reflects residual uncertainty in peak timing and exact measurement location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions