Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
35%
22°C
24%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
$1,321 交易量
<1%
16°C
$862 交易量
<1%
17°C
$759 交易量
1%
18°C
$908 交易量
3%
19°C
$398 交易量
16%
20°C
$757 交易量
23%
21°C
$413 交易量
35%
22°C
$963 交易量
24%
23°C
$1,059 交易量
7%
24°C
$1,051 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$871 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,300结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,300结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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