Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on April 17 at 35.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 observations climbing to near 19°C amid moderating cloud cover and southerly flow enhancing solar heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles similarly converge on 20–22°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 17°C but boosted by persistent high-pressure ridging. Uncertainties include potential afternoon showers or variable cloudiness that could cap peaks at 20°C or push to 22°C; expect refined guidance from MGM's next update on April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
22%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
$1,315 交易量
<1%
16°C
$856 交易量
<1%
17°C
$725 交易量
1%
18°C
$875 交易量
3%
19°C
$388 交易量
16%
20°C
$747 交易量
22%
21°C
$406 交易量
36%
22°C
$952 交易量
24%
23°C
$968 交易量
6%
24°C
$732 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$711 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on April 17 at 35.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 observations climbing to near 19°C amid moderating cloud cover and southerly flow enhancing solar heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles similarly converge on 20–22°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 17°C but boosted by persistent high-pressure ridging. Uncertainties include potential afternoon showers or variable cloudiness that could cap peaks at 20°C or push to 22°C; expect refined guidance from MGM's next update on April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,613结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on April 17 at 35.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 observations climbing to near 19°C amid moderating cloud cover and southerly flow enhancing solar heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles similarly converge on 20–22°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 17°C but boosted by persistent high-pressure ridging. Uncertainties include potential afternoon showers or variable cloudiness that could cap peaks at 20°C or push to 22°C; expect refined guidance from MGM's next update on April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,613结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on April 17 at 35.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light winds. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 observations climbing to near 19°C amid moderating cloud cover and southerly flow enhancing solar heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles similarly converge on 20–22°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages around 17°C but boosted by persistent high-pressure ridging. Uncertainties include potential afternoon showers or variable cloudiness that could cap peaks at 20°C or push to 22°C; expect refined guidance from MGM's next update on April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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