Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance projecting a Cape Town high of 17°C on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that will introduce cloudy skies, isolated showers, and cooler southerly airflow, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Close probabilities for 16°C (22.5%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (19.5%) stem from ensemble forecast model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight variations in cloud cover timing and frontal passage intensity—which could shave or add a degree via differing solar insolation or precipitation onset. Winds and overcast conditions heighten uncertainty in peak afternoon heating; watch SAWS updates and new model runs overnight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
17°C 28%
16°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 13%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
20%
19°C
10%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 28%
16°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 13%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
20%
19°C
10%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance projecting a Cape Town high of 17°C on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that will introduce cloudy skies, isolated showers, and cooler southerly airflow, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Close probabilities for 16°C (22.5%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (19.5%) stem from ensemble forecast model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight variations in cloud cover timing and frontal passage intensity—which could shave or add a degree via differing solar insolation or precipitation onset. Winds and overcast conditions heighten uncertainty in peak afternoon heating; watch SAWS updates and new model runs overnight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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