National Weather Service guidance for Dallas-Fort Worth shows a consensus high near 82°F on April 13 under partly sunny skies with south-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph, driving the market-implied 85% probability for 82°F or higher as traders price in this warm, stable pattern. A broad upper-level ridge over Texas maintains southerly flow advection of moist, above-normal air masses, with minimal cold frontal interference until later in the week; GFS and ECMWF models align closely on daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 80s, supported by recent soundings indicating strong boundary layer mixing. Low chances of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce slight uncertainty that could cap peaks at 80-81°F, per the 8.6% odds there, but climatological April averages around 78°F favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs expected overnight may refine these trader sentiments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日达拉斯的最高温度?
4月13日达拉斯的最高温度?
82°F或更高 83%
80-81°F 8.5%
78-79°F 6.0%
76-77°F 2.0%
$27,818 交易量
$27,818 交易量
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
8%
82°F或更高
83%
82°F或更高 83%
80-81°F 8.5%
78-79°F 6.0%
76-77°F 2.0%
$27,818 交易量
$27,818 交易量
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
8%
82°F或更高
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance for Dallas-Fort Worth shows a consensus high near 82°F on April 13 under partly sunny skies with south-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph, driving the market-implied 85% probability for 82°F or higher as traders price in this warm, stable pattern. A broad upper-level ridge over Texas maintains southerly flow advection of moist, above-normal air masses, with minimal cold frontal interference until later in the week; GFS and ECMWF models align closely on daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 80s, supported by recent soundings indicating strong boundary layer mixing. Low chances of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduce slight uncertainty that could cap peaks at 80-81°F, per the 8.6% odds there, but climatological April averages around 78°F favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs expected overnight may refine these trader sentiments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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