Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
12°C 35%
11°C 33%
10°C 13%
13°C 4.9%
$28,694 交易量
$28,694 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
13%
11°C
48%
12°C
35%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
2%
12°C 35%
11°C 33%
10°C 13%
13°C 4.9%
$28,694 交易量
$28,694 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
13%
11°C
48%
12°C
35%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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