Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
13°C 44%
12°C 34%
11°C 13.5%
14°C 6.9%
$20,809 交易量
$20,809 交易量
2026-04-12
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
34%
13°C
44%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
13°C 44%
12°C 34%
11°C 13.5%
14°C 6.9%
$20,809 交易量
$20,809 交易量
2026-04-12
8°C
$1,253 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,870 交易量
2%
11°C
$1,773 交易量
13%
12°C
$1,415 交易量
34%
13°C
$1,176 交易量
44%
14°C
$1,886 交易量
7%
15°C
$3,697 交易量
2%
16°C or higher
$3,354 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$20,809结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,809结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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