Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 70-71°F in Los Angeles on April 17 at 26.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs like GFS and ECMWF that project mild conditions under persistent onshore flow and a typical spring marine layer of stratus clouds, capping coastal highs in the low 70s amid cool sea surface temperatures off Southern California. The fragmented probabilities underscore inherent short-term uncertainty from variable morning cloud deck extent and afternoon burn-off timing—deeper stratus could drop outcomes to 66-67°F (3%), while unexpected ridging aloft might elevate to 82°F+ (2.6%). Mid-April NOAA normals average 72°F highs, with no major deviations in recent trends; watch twice-daily NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 15%
76-77°F 10%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
74-75°F 15%
76-77°F 10%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 70-71°F in Los Angeles on April 17 at 26.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs like GFS and ECMWF that project mild conditions under persistent onshore flow and a typical spring marine layer of stratus clouds, capping coastal highs in the low 70s amid cool sea surface temperatures off Southern California. The fragmented probabilities underscore inherent short-term uncertainty from variable morning cloud deck extent and afternoon burn-off timing—deeper stratus could drop outcomes to 66-67°F (3%), while unexpected ridging aloft might elevate to 82°F+ (2.6%). Mid-April NOAA normals average 72°F highs, with no major deviations in recent trends; watch twice-daily NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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