The southwest monsoon, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover, is the dominant factor capping Manila's expected peak temperature on August 6. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 31°C high amid 80-90% rain probability, yet persistent overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation typically suppress actual maxima into the upper 20s during peak monsoon. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 29°C (49.5%) or 30°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of climatological patterns where August daytime averages hover near 31°C but wet conditions frequently deliver 1-2°C cooler readings. Updated model runs and morning briefings will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 50%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
50%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
29°C 50%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
$207 交易量
<1%
26°C
$46 交易量
1%
27°C
$245 交易量
3%
28°C
$122 交易量
19%
29°C
$1,525 交易量
50%
30°C
$527 交易量
28%
31°C
$283 交易量
5%
32°C
$106 交易量
1%
33°C
$363 交易量
1%
34°C
$95 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$108 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover, is the dominant factor capping Manila's expected peak temperature on August 6. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 31°C high amid 80-90% rain probability, yet persistent overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation typically suppress actual maxima into the upper 20s during peak monsoon. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 29°C (49.5%) or 30°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of climatological patterns where August daytime averages hover near 31°C but wet conditions frequently deliver 1-2°C cooler readings. Updated model runs and morning briefings will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,627结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover, is the dominant factor capping Manila's expected peak temperature on August 6. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 31°C high amid 80-90% rain probability, yet persistent overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation typically suppress actual maxima into the upper 20s during peak monsoon. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 29°C (49.5%) or 30°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of climatological patterns where August daytime averages hover near 31°C but wet conditions frequently deliver 1-2°C cooler readings. Updated model runs and morning briefings will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,627结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThe southwest monsoon, or habagat, combined with scattered thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover, is the dominant factor capping Manila's expected peak temperature on August 6. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 31°C high amid 80-90% rain probability, yet persistent overcast conditions and reduced solar insolation typically suppress actual maxima into the upper 20s during peak monsoon. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 29°C (49.5%) or 30°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of climatological patterns where August daytime averages hover near 31°C but wet conditions frequently deliver 1-2°C cooler readings. Updated model runs and morning briefings will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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