Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs have converged on peak highs of 23-24°C for Milan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 24°C and 27% for 23°C, thanks to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, ample solar insolation, and light southerly flow boosting daytime heating. The razor-thin margin reflects fine-scale uncertainties in afternoon cloud development—ECMWF ensembles hint at partial veiling potentially capping at 23°C, while GFS favors prolonged sunshine pushing toward 24°C—compounded by Milan's urban heat island amplifying temperatures 1-2°C above rural sites. Observations from Milano Linate Airport, starting hourly today, will clarify amid typical spring variability where April averages ~18°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 20%
25°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
20%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
22°C 20%
25°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
18°C or below
$2,020 交易量
<1%
19°C
$900 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,094 交易量
1%
21°C
$810 交易量
3%
22°C
$753 交易量
20%
23°C
$478 交易量
26%
24°C
$381 交易量
32%
25°C
$451 交易量
19%
26°C
$1,066 交易量
3%
27°C
$833 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$692 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs have converged on peak highs of 23-24°C for Milan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 24°C and 27% for 23°C, thanks to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, ample solar insolation, and light southerly flow boosting daytime heating. The razor-thin margin reflects fine-scale uncertainties in afternoon cloud development—ECMWF ensembles hint at partial veiling potentially capping at 23°C, while GFS favors prolonged sunshine pushing toward 24°C—compounded by Milan's urban heat island amplifying temperatures 1-2°C above rural sites. Observations from Milano Linate Airport, starting hourly today, will clarify amid typical spring variability where April averages ~18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,472结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs have converged on peak highs of 23-24°C for Milan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 24°C and 27% for 23°C, thanks to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, ample solar insolation, and light southerly flow boosting daytime heating. The razor-thin margin reflects fine-scale uncertainties in afternoon cloud development—ECMWF ensembles hint at partial veiling potentially capping at 23°C, while GFS favors prolonged sunshine pushing toward 24°C—compounded by Milan's urban heat island amplifying temperatures 1-2°C above rural sites. Observations from Milano Linate Airport, starting hourly today, will clarify amid typical spring variability where April averages ~18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,472结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS model runs have converged on peak highs of 23-24°C for Milan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 24°C and 27% for 23°C, thanks to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, ample solar insolation, and light southerly flow boosting daytime heating. The razor-thin margin reflects fine-scale uncertainties in afternoon cloud development—ECMWF ensembles hint at partial veiling potentially capping at 23°C, while GFS favors prolonged sunshine pushing toward 24°C—compounded by Milan's urban heat island amplifying temperatures 1-2°C above rural sites. Observations from Milano Linate Airport, starting hourly today, will clarify amid typical spring variability where April averages ~18°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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