Météo-France's latest forecasts peg Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 amid a mild high-pressure ridge bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds, slightly above the seasonal April norm of about 16°C. Trader sentiment splits tightly between 21°C (33.5% implied probability) and 20°C (32.5%) due to model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could limit insolation and peak temperatures by 1°C; fuller sunshine favors the warmer outcome. This follows a warming trend from midweek highs of 18-20°C, post a brief prior heat wave. Watch today's 12z ECMWF and GFS updates for resolution-clarifying refinements before official Paris-Montsouris observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴黎气温最高?
4月17日巴黎气温最高?
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
22°C 19%
19°C 12%
$21,371 交易量
$21,371 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
12%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
22°C 19%
19°C 12%
$21,371 交易量
$21,371 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
12%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Météo-France's latest forecasts peg Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 amid a mild high-pressure ridge bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds, slightly above the seasonal April norm of about 16°C. Trader sentiment splits tightly between 21°C (33.5% implied probability) and 20°C (32.5%) due to model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could limit insolation and peak temperatures by 1°C; fuller sunshine favors the warmer outcome. This follows a warming trend from midweek highs of 18-20°C, post a brief prior heat wave. Watch today's 12z ECMWF and GFS updates for resolution-clarifying refinements before official Paris-Montsouris observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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