Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment with implied probabilities of 34% for 15°C, 27% for 16°C, and 22.5% for 14°C. This positioning reflects recent model runs indicating moderate solar insolation limited by variable mid-level clouds and weak southerly flow advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge, amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13°C highs. Differentiating factors include subtle ensemble spread from boundary layer mixing variations and potential afternoon cloud evolution, creating genuine uncertainty in the exact integer outcome. New 12Z model updates and real-time IMGW observations today could further refine trader consensus ahead of official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 35%
16°C 29%
14°C 23%
17°C or higher 13%
最新
$10,899 交易量
最新
$10,899 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
23%
15°C
35%
16°C
29%
17°C or higher
13%
15°C 35%
16°C 29%
14°C 23%
17°C or higher 13%
最新
$10,899 交易量
最新
$10,899 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
$844 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,338 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,991 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,372 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,180 交易量
1%
12°C
$672 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,275 交易量
4%
14°C
$488 交易量
23%
15°C
$398 交易量
35%
16°C
$587 交易量
29%
17°C or higher
$762 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment with implied probabilities of 34% for 15°C, 27% for 16°C, and 22.5% for 14°C. This positioning reflects recent model runs indicating moderate solar insolation limited by variable mid-level clouds and weak southerly flow advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge, amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13°C highs. Differentiating factors include subtle ensemble spread from boundary layer mixing variations and potential afternoon cloud evolution, creating genuine uncertainty in the exact integer outcome. New 12Z model updates and real-time IMGW observations today could further refine trader consensus ahead of official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$10,899结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment with implied probabilities of 34% for 15°C, 27% for 16°C, and 22.5% for 14°C. This positioning reflects recent model runs indicating moderate solar insolation limited by variable mid-level clouds and weak southerly flow advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge, amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13°C highs. Differentiating factors include subtle ensemble spread from boundary layer mixing variations and potential afternoon cloud evolution, creating genuine uncertainty in the exact integer outcome. New 12Z model updates and real-time IMGW observations today could further refine trader consensus ahead of official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,899结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show strong consensus for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment with implied probabilities of 34% for 15°C, 27% for 16°C, and 22.5% for 14°C. This positioning reflects recent model runs indicating moderate solar insolation limited by variable mid-level clouds and weak southerly flow advection from a lingering high-pressure ridge, amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13°C highs. Differentiating factors include subtle ensemble spread from boundary layer mixing variations and potential afternoon cloud evolution, creating genuine uncertainty in the exact integer outcome. New 12Z model updates and real-time IMGW observations today could further refine trader consensus ahead of official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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