Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 27°C high in São Paulo today, reflecting the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under mostly sunny skies and easterly winds of 10-15 km/h moderating peak heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 26-27°C spread, driven by minor divergences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing amid stable high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 27°C, while any isolated convection might cap at 26°C. Real-time INMET observations from stations like Congonhas will clarify the peak around 2-4 p.m. local time, resolving market uncertainty near climatological April norms of 26.6°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日圣保罗的最高温度?
4月15日圣保罗的最高温度?
27°C 43%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
$31,572 交易量
$31,572 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
43%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 43%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
$31,572 交易量
$31,572 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
43%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 27°C high in São Paulo today, reflecting the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under mostly sunny skies and easterly winds of 10-15 km/h moderating peak heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 26-27°C spread, driven by minor divergences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing amid stable high-pressure dominance. Urban heat island effects could nudge toward 27°C, while any isolated convection might cap at 26°C. Real-time INMET observations from stations like Congonhas will clarify the peak around 2-4 p.m. local time, resolving market uncertainty near climatological April norms of 26.6°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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