Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and dry conditions (humidity around 40%, light 6–10 mph winds). Timeanddate.com shows 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, while Accuweather implies ~29°C with clouds and sun—differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability, sea breeze intrusion from the Atlantic moderating coastal heat, and urban heat island amplification at the official INMET station (likely Mirante de Santana). Recent days trended warmer (April 15 high ~27°C), but no fronts loom; watch INMET updates and hourly observations resolving by evening local time for final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
23°C or below
$215 交易量
1%
24°C
$155 交易量
1%
25°C
$151 交易量
3%
26°C
$246 交易量
11%
27°C
$285 交易量
22%
28°C
$185 交易量
31%
29°C
$728 交易量
31%
30°C
$153 交易量
10%
31°C
$104 交易量
3%
32°C
$132 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$276 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and dry conditions (humidity around 40%, light 6–10 mph winds). Timeanddate.com shows 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, while Accuweather implies ~29°C with clouds and sun—differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability, sea breeze intrusion from the Atlantic moderating coastal heat, and urban heat island amplification at the official INMET station (likely Mirante de Santana). Recent days trended warmer (April 15 high ~27°C), but no fronts loom; watch INMET updates and hourly observations resolving by evening local time for final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$2,628结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and dry conditions (humidity around 40%, light 6–10 mph winds). Timeanddate.com shows 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, while Accuweather implies ~29°C with clouds and sun—differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability, sea breeze intrusion from the Atlantic moderating coastal heat, and urban heat island amplification at the official INMET station (likely Mirante de Santana). Recent days trended warmer (April 15 high ~27°C), but no fronts loom; watch INMET updates and hourly observations resolving by evening local time for final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,628结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C amid a subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and dry conditions (humidity around 40%, light 6–10 mph winds). Timeanddate.com shows 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, while Accuweather implies ~29°C with clouds and sun—differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability, sea breeze intrusion from the Atlantic moderating coastal heat, and urban heat island amplification at the official INMET station (likely Mirante de Santana). Recent days trended warmer (April 15 high ~27°C), but no fronts loom; watch INMET updates and hourly observations resolving by evening local time for final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题