North Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voting index of R+9 following 2025 redistricting, giving the Republican nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged from his party's primary as the challenger. The seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Foxx's long tenure and fundraising capacity, has shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Republican outcome. No major late-breaking events or competitive polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving limited pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,731 交易量
$29,731 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
$29,731 交易量
$29,731 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$22,726 交易量
87%
民主党
$7,005 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voting index of R+9 following 2025 redistricting, giving the Republican nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged from his party's primary as the challenger. The seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Foxx's long tenure and fundraising capacity, has shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Republican outcome. No major late-breaking events or competitive polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving limited pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$29,731结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voting index of R+9 following 2025 redistricting, giving the Republican nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged from his party's primary as the challenger. The seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Foxx's long tenure and fundraising capacity, has shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Republican outcome. No major late-breaking events or competitive polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving limited pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,731结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voting index of R+9 following 2025 redistricting, giving the Republican nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with minimal opposition, while Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged from his party's primary as the challenger. The seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Foxx's long tenure and fundraising capacity, has shaped trader consensus around an 86.5% probability for the Republican outcome. No major late-breaking events or competitive polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving limited pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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