Nellie Pou’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district stems from her unopposed June 2026 primary win, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.6 million, and the seat’s modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report upgraded the race to Likely Democratic after the 2025 gubernatorial results showed improved Democratic performance in the district. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino secured her nomination by a narrow margin but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 90.9% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, late-campaign developments affecting turnout, or unexpected candidate controversies before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,438 交易量
91%
共和党
$10,794 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district stems from her unopposed June 2026 primary win, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.6 million, and the seat’s modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report upgraded the race to Likely Democratic after the 2025 gubernatorial results showed improved Democratic performance in the district. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino secured her nomination by a narrow margin but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 90.9% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, late-campaign developments affecting turnout, or unexpected candidate controversies before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$22,232结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district stems from her unopposed June 2026 primary win, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.6 million, and the seat’s modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report upgraded the race to Likely Democratic after the 2025 gubernatorial results showed improved Democratic performance in the district. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino secured her nomination by a narrow margin but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 90.9% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, late-campaign developments affecting turnout, or unexpected candidate controversies before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,232结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETNellie Pou’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district stems from her unopposed June 2026 primary win, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2.6 million, and the seat’s modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report upgraded the race to Likely Democratic after the 2025 gubernatorial results showed improved Democratic performance in the district. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino secured her nomination by a narrow margin but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 90.9% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major national political realignments, late-campaign developments affecting turnout, or unexpected candidate controversies before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题