Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20mm total April precipitation in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April 16, with observational data from Met Office stations like Heathrow recording minimal rainfall accumulation amid an unusually warm spring start. High-pressure ridges dominating recent forecasts have suppressed shower activity following early-month unsettled patterns, promoting sinking air that inhibits convective rain formation. Historical April averages hover around 40-45mm, but current model consensus from the Met Office points to limited additional precipitation in the remaining two weeks, though Atlantic weather shifts could introduce variability. Watch for daily forecast updates as the decisive late-month window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Precipitation in London in April?
Precipitation in London in April?
<20mm 68.0%
40-50mm 16.3%
30-40mm 12%
20-30mm 7.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<20mm
68%
20-30mm
7%
30-40mm
12%
40-50mm
16%
50-60mm
3%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
<20mm 68.0%
40-50mm 16.3%
30-40mm 12%
20-30mm 7.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-30
<20mm
$2,237 交易量
68%
20-30mm
$662 交易量
7%
30-40mm
$1,108 交易量
12%
40-50mm
$893 交易量
16%
50-60mm
$1,841 交易量
3%
60-70mm
$798 交易量
2%
70mm+
$1,126 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20mm total April precipitation in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April 16, with observational data from Met Office stations like Heathrow recording minimal rainfall accumulation amid an unusually warm spring start. High-pressure ridges dominating recent forecasts have suppressed shower activity following early-month unsettled patterns, promoting sinking air that inhibits convective rain formation. Historical April averages hover around 40-45mm, but current model consensus from the Met Office points to limited additional precipitation in the remaining two weeks, though Atlantic weather shifts could introduce variability. Watch for daily forecast updates as the decisive late-month window approaches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$8,667结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20mm total April precipitation in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April 16, with observational data from Met Office stations like Heathrow recording minimal rainfall accumulation amid an unusually warm spring start. High-pressure ridges dominating recent forecasts have suppressed shower activity following early-month unsettled patterns, promoting sinking air that inhibits convective rain formation. Historical April averages hover around 40-45mm, but current model consensus from the Met Office points to limited additional precipitation in the remaining two weeks, though Atlantic weather shifts could introduce variability. Watch for daily forecast updates as the decisive late-month window approaches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,667结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20mm total April precipitation in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April 16, with observational data from Met Office stations like Heathrow recording minimal rainfall accumulation amid an unusually warm spring start. High-pressure ridges dominating recent forecasts have suppressed shower activity following early-month unsettled patterns, promoting sinking air that inhibits convective rain formation. Historical April averages hover around 40-45mm, but current model consensus from the Met Office points to limited additional precipitation in the remaining two weeks, though Atlantic weather shifts could introduce variability. Watch for daily forecast updates as the decisive late-month window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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