Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and adjacent Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions within the party. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, carries prior federal conviction history that further narrows any path to competitiveness in this urban, majority-minority district. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader consensus aligning to the district's structural voting patterns and limited recent polling or fundraising signals suggesting meaningful shifts. Late developments such as turnout anomalies or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$48,331 Vol.
$48,331 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,331 Vol.
$48,331 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,624 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,707 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and adjacent Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions within the party. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, carries prior federal conviction history that further narrows any path to competitiveness in this urban, majority-minority district. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader consensus aligning to the district's structural voting patterns and limited recent polling or fundraising signals suggesting meaningful shifts. Late developments such as turnout anomalies or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,331End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and adjacent Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions within the party. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, carries prior federal conviction history that further narrows any path to competitiveness in this urban, majority-minority district. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader consensus aligning to the district's structural voting patterns and limited recent polling or fundraising signals suggesting meaningful shifts. Late developments such as turnout anomalies or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,331End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and adjacent Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, consolidating support from both progressive and establishment factions within the party. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, carries prior federal conviction history that further narrows any path to competitiveness in this urban, majority-minority district. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, with trader consensus aligning to the district's structural voting patterns and limited recent polling or fundraising signals suggesting meaningful shifts. Late developments such as turnout anomalies or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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