Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and isolated showers, driving trader-implied probabilities toward 15°C (39%) as the consensus peak near 15.1°C per IMGW hourly data. Mild spring air mass over Central Europe, with a weak frontal boundary and moderate diurnal heating potential amid variable cloud cover, differentiates closely matched outcomes—full sun could push toward 16-17°C, while thicker clouds favor 14°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists until observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport resolve the market within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 39%
16°C 30%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
NUOVO
$11,374 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,374 Vol.
17 apr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
30%
17°C or higher
11%
15°C 39%
16°C 30%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
NUOVO
$11,374 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,374 Vol.
17 apr 2026
7°C or below
$873 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,401 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,209 Vol.
1%
12°C
$701 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,395 Vol.
4%
14°C
$517 Vol.
22%
15°C
$454 Vol.
39%
16°C
$665 Vol.
30%
17°C or higher
$816 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and isolated showers, driving trader-implied probabilities toward 15°C (39%) as the consensus peak near 15.1°C per IMGW hourly data. Mild spring air mass over Central Europe, with a weak frontal boundary and moderate diurnal heating potential amid variable cloud cover, differentiates closely matched outcomes—full sun could push toward 16-17°C, while thicker clouds favor 14°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists until observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport resolve the market within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,374Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and isolated showers, driving trader-implied probabilities toward 15°C (39%) as the consensus peak near 15.1°C per IMGW hourly data. Mild spring air mass over Central Europe, with a weak frontal boundary and moderate diurnal heating potential amid variable cloud cover, differentiates closely matched outcomes—full sun could push toward 16-17°C, while thicker clouds favor 14°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists until observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport resolve the market within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,374Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and isolated showers, driving trader-implied probabilities toward 15°C (39%) as the consensus peak near 15.1°C per IMGW hourly data. Mild spring air mass over Central Europe, with a weak frontal boundary and moderate diurnal heating potential amid variable cloud cover, differentiates closely matched outcomes—full sun could push toward 16-17°C, while thicker clouds favor 14°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists until observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport resolve the market within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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