Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, driving trader consensus to 83.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Knott cruised to an 89.9% Republican primary victory on March 3 over Sid Sharma, signaling robust base support after his 2024 general election win by 17 points. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59.1%, but faces structural headwinds in the redrawn suburban Raleigh district that favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9% in 2024 presidential voting. Absent district polling, forecasters cite incumbency and partisan lean as key barriers to a Democratic upset, though fundraising remains competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$262 거래량
84%
Democratic Party
$2,172 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, driving trader consensus to 83.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Knott cruised to an 89.9% Republican primary victory on March 3 over Sid Sharma, signaling robust base support after his 2024 general election win by 17 points. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59.1%, but faces structural headwinds in the redrawn suburban Raleigh district that favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9% in 2024 presidential voting. Absent district polling, forecasters cite incumbency and partisan lean as key barriers to a Democratic upset, though fundraising remains competitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$2,434종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, driving trader consensus to 83.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Knott cruised to an 89.9% Republican primary victory on March 3 over Sid Sharma, signaling robust base support after his 2024 general election win by 17 points. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59.1%, but faces structural headwinds in the redrawn suburban Raleigh district that favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9% in 2024 presidential voting. Absent district polling, forecasters cite incumbency and partisan lean as key barriers to a Democratic upset, though fundraising remains competitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,434종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, driving trader consensus to 83.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Knott cruised to an 89.9% Republican primary victory on March 3 over Sid Sharma, signaling robust base support after his 2024 general election win by 17 points. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59.1%, but faces structural headwinds in the redrawn suburban Raleigh district that favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9% in 2024 presidential voting. Absent district polling, forecasters cite incumbency and partisan lean as key barriers to a Democratic upset, though fundraising remains competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문