Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Bentz's prior victories exceeding 60 percent and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary outcomes and fundraising patterns have reinforced expectations of continuity, with limited recent shifts in the race's fundamentals. A major national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in rural areas could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,363 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$2,784 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Bentz's prior victories exceeding 60 percent and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary outcomes and fundraising patterns have reinforced expectations of continuity, with limited recent shifts in the race's fundamentals. A major national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in rural areas could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$5,147종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Bentz's prior victories exceeding 60 percent and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary outcomes and fundraising patterns have reinforced expectations of continuity, with limited recent shifts in the race's fundamentals. A major national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in rural areas could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,147종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Bentz's prior victories exceeding 60 percent and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Primary outcomes and fundraising patterns have reinforced expectations of continuity, with limited recent shifts in the race's fundamentals. A major national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in rural areas could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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