Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 held by the GOP since 1981 and rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bentz, who won reelection with 64% in 2024, boasts $1.3 million cash on hand, dwarfing his two modest Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. A crowded six-candidate Democratic primary—featuring Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and others—signals disorganized opposition without standout fundraising or polls. While a scandal, health issue for Bentz, or national midterm wave could challenge this, historical patterns in safe incumbent districts favor a hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,190 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$2,347 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 held by the GOP since 1981 and rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bentz, who won reelection with 64% in 2024, boasts $1.3 million cash on hand, dwarfing his two modest Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. A crowded six-candidate Democratic primary—featuring Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and others—signals disorganized opposition without standout fundraising or polls. While a scandal, health issue for Bentz, or national midterm wave could challenge this, historical patterns in safe incumbent districts favor a hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,538종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 held by the GOP since 1981 and rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bentz, who won reelection with 64% in 2024, boasts $1.3 million cash on hand, dwarfing his two modest Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. A crowded six-candidate Democratic primary—featuring Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and others—signals disorganized opposition without standout fundraising or polls. While a scandal, health issue for Bentz, or national midterm wave could challenge this, historical patterns in safe incumbent districts favor a hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,538종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 held by the GOP since 1981 and rated Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bentz, who won reelection with 64% in 2024, boasts $1.3 million cash on hand, dwarfing his two modest Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 19, 2026, primaries. A crowded six-candidate Democratic primary—featuring Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and others—signals disorganized opposition without standout fundraising or polls. While a scandal, health issue for Bentz, or national midterm wave could challenge this, historical patterns in safe incumbent districts favor a hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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