Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Ankara's April 17 highest temperature at 21°C (35.5% implied probability) and 22°C (32.0%), reflecting tight clustering in latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at 21°C under partly cloudy conditions, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 21-22°C amid a high-pressure ridge boosting insolation over central Anatolia. This setup follows recent spring warming, elevating readings above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C via mild southerly flow and light winds. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cloudiness and peak diurnal heating, where thinner clouds could nudge toward 22°C as hinted by AccuWeather's 22°C projection. Watch real-time updates from Esenboğa Airport for resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
20°C 14%
23°C 6.5%
$17,874 交易量
$17,874 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
32%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
20°C 14%
23°C 6.5%
$17,874 交易量
$17,874 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
32%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Ankara's April 17 highest temperature at 21°C (35.5% implied probability) and 22°C (32.0%), reflecting tight clustering in latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at 21°C under partly cloudy conditions, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 21-22°C amid a high-pressure ridge boosting insolation over central Anatolia. This setup follows recent spring warming, elevating readings above the mid-April climatological average of 17°C via mild southerly flow and light winds. Key differentiators include model spreads on afternoon cloudiness and peak diurnal heating, where thinner clouds could nudge toward 22°C as hinted by AccuWeather's 22°C projection. Watch real-time updates from Esenboğa Airport for resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions