Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with 24°C (33.5%) edging 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (22.0%) amid latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a 20–27°C spread centered in the mid-20s. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting hazy sunshine and solar heating under light winds, boosting above-average autumn highs beyond the 21–22°C climatological norm, while urban heat island effects amplify peaks at Ministro Pistarini International Airport. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength and isolated cloud development, which could cap or enhance maxima; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes may sharpen odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
26°C 23%
23°C 9%
$24,058 交易量
$24,058 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
23%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
26°C 23%
23°C 9%
$24,058 交易量
$24,058 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
23%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with 24°C (33.5%) edging 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (22.0%) amid latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a 20–27°C spread centered in the mid-20s. This stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting hazy sunshine and solar heating under light winds, boosting above-average autumn highs beyond the 21–22°C climatological norm, while urban heat island effects amplify peaks at Ministro Pistarini International Airport. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon sea breeze strength and isolated cloud development, which could cap or enhance maxima; Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes may sharpen odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions