Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 78-79°F (37.5% implied probability) as Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF averaging near 77°F under a persistent upper-level ridge bringing above-normal spring warmth. Yesterday's record-tying 95°F high at nearby DFW International Airport—driven by intense solar heating and dry conditions—has given way to slightly cooler guidance due to subtle shifts in southerly flow and potential afternoon cloudiness, creating a 74-81°F spread across runs. Normal mid-April highs hover around 77°F; resolution hinges on observed peak heating this afternoon amid minimal precipitation risk, with NWS updates expected hourly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
82°F or higher 10.5%
$36,667 交易量
$36,667 交易量
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
24%
82°F or higher
11%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
82°F or higher 10.5%
$36,667 交易量
$36,667 交易量
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
24%
82°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 78-79°F (37.5% implied probability) as Dallas's highest temperature today at Love Field, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF averaging near 77°F under a persistent upper-level ridge bringing above-normal spring warmth. Yesterday's record-tying 95°F high at nearby DFW International Airport—driven by intense solar heating and dry conditions—has given way to slightly cooler guidance due to subtle shifts in southerly flow and potential afternoon cloudiness, creating a 74-81°F spread across runs. Normal mid-April highs hover around 77°F; resolution hinges on observed peak heating this afternoon amid minimal precipitation risk, with NWS updates expected hourly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions