Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 84-85°F (36%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, driven by NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring above-normal April temperatures across Texas amid a developing upper-level ridge and southerly winds promoting warm air advection. National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 79°F with lingering thunderstorm chances from recent severe weather on April 14, potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show spread around mid-80s°F depending on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Key differentiator: clearer skies could boost 86-87°F via enhanced solar heating; overnight model runs will clarify steering patterns and convective threats before resolution at Dallas Love Field (KDAL).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月16日達拉斯的最高溫度?
4月16日達拉斯的最高溫度?
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 10%
華氏75度或以下
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
華氏94度或更高
1%
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 10%
華氏75度或以下
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
華氏94度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 84-85°F (36%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, driven by NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring above-normal April temperatures across Texas amid a developing upper-level ridge and southerly winds promoting warm air advection. National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 79°F with lingering thunderstorm chances from recent severe weather on April 14, potentially capping peaks via cloud cover, while ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show spread around mid-80s°F depending on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Key differentiator: clearer skies could boost 86-87°F via enhanced solar heating; overnight model runs will clarify steering patterns and convective threats before resolution at Dallas Love Field (KDAL).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions