Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 31°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's official forecast for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—projecting this peak amid partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds at 10-15 km/h, and high humidity around 80%. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing to 29-30°C midday, aligning with numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF that factor in solar insolation, urban heat effects, and April climatology where daily maxima typically range 28-32°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon clearing for excess heating to 32°C or incoming showers suppressing the peak below 31°C; monitor hourly station data for shifts before evening resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,259 交易量
$84,259 交易量
2026-04-16
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$84,259 交易量
$84,259 交易量
2026-04-16
31°C
$66,108 交易量
100%
32°C
$3,248 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,694 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,298 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,457 交易量
<1%
36°C
$2,161 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,263 交易量
<1%
38°C
$519 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 31°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's official forecast for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—projecting this peak amid partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds at 10-15 km/h, and high humidity around 80%. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing to 29-30°C midday, aligning with numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF that factor in solar insolation, urban heat effects, and April climatology where daily maxima typically range 28-32°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon clearing for excess heating to 32°C or incoming showers suppressing the peak below 31°C; monitor hourly station data for shifts before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
交易量
$84,259結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 31°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's official forecast for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—projecting this peak amid partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds at 10-15 km/h, and high humidity around 80%. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing to 29-30°C midday, aligning with numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF that factor in solar insolation, urban heat effects, and April climatology where daily maxima typically range 28-32°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon clearing for excess heating to 32°C or incoming showers suppressing the peak below 31°C; monitor hourly station data for shifts before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,259結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETTrader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 31°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's official forecast for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—projecting this peak amid partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds at 10-15 km/h, and high humidity around 80%. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing to 29-30°C midday, aligning with numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF that factor in solar insolation, urban heat effects, and April climatology where daily maxima typically range 28-32°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon clearing for excess heating to 32°C or incoming showers suppressing the peak below 31°C; monitor hourly station data for shifts before evening resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions