Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31%) and 30°C (32%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 17, reflecting latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) guidance projecting a maximum near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity around 30% in nearby stations like Alumínio-SP. This above-normal warmth—versus April climatological highs of 25-26°C—stems from persistent high-pressure stability fostering prolonged insolation, as evidenced by April 16's observed 27°C peak amid sunny conditions. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea breeze clouds capping heating at 29°C versus clearer skies pushing to 30°C or 31°C (12.5%), with urban heat island amplification at official INMET sites like Mirante de Santana; updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift the balance before tomorrow's hourly observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
$13,863 交易量
$13,863 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 11%
$13,863 交易量
$13,863 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (31%) and 30°C (32%) as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 17, reflecting latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) guidance projecting a maximum near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low humidity around 30% in nearby stations like Alumínio-SP. This above-normal warmth—versus April climatological highs of 25-26°C—stems from persistent high-pressure stability fostering prolonged insolation, as evidenced by April 16's observed 27°C peak amid sunny conditions. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea breeze clouds capping heating at 29°C versus clearer skies pushing to 30°C or 31°C (12.5%), with urban heat island amplification at official INMET sites like Mirante de Santana; updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift the balance before tomorrow's hourly observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions