The National Weather Service's latest guidance pegs Seattle's April 17 high temperature near 56°F under mostly sunny skies, following patchy frost overnight into a cool airmass over western Washington, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s outcomes with 56-57°F at 38.5% implied probability edging 54-55°F at 29.5%. Differentiating factors include potential persistence of morning marine stratus from Puget Sound, which could cap peaks at 54-55°F via reduced solar insolation, versus faster boundary layer clearing hinted by ECMWF ensembles allowing 56-57°F amid light south winds and weak high pressure ridging. GFS models cluster similarly in the 55-57°F range, reflecting typical spring variability around the 57°F April climatological average; new hourly observations Thursday morning will clarify peak heating potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 39%
54-55°F 31%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 10%
$14,832 交易量
$14,832 交易量
51°F或以下
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
華氏70度或以上
<1%
56-57°F 39%
54-55°F 31%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 10%
$14,832 交易量
$14,832 交易量
51°F或以下
3%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
華氏70度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The National Weather Service's latest guidance pegs Seattle's April 17 high temperature near 56°F under mostly sunny skies, following patchy frost overnight into a cool airmass over western Washington, driving trader consensus toward mid-50s outcomes with 56-57°F at 38.5% implied probability edging 54-55°F at 29.5%. Differentiating factors include potential persistence of morning marine stratus from Puget Sound, which could cap peaks at 54-55°F via reduced solar insolation, versus faster boundary layer clearing hinted by ECMWF ensembles allowing 56-57°F amid light south winds and weak high pressure ridging. GFS models cluster similarly in the 55-57°F range, reflecting typical spring variability around the 57°F April climatological average; new hourly observations Thursday morning will clarify peak heating potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions