Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a 20°C daytime high for Seoul on April 17 amid an ongoing early-spring heatwave, driving trader consensus to 70.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This reflects persistent high-pressure ridging ushering warm continental air and southerly winds, yielding temperatures 5–10°C above seasonal norms—recent days saw Seoul highs near 27–28°C, shattering April records since 1907 observations began. Clear skies and low precipitation probability support solar heating, though partial cloudiness in some global models like ECMWF tempers odds for 17°C at 25%. Resolution hinges on official readings at Incheon International Airport station; watch KMA's midday update for potential refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日首爾最高溫度?
4月17日首爾最高溫度?
18°C或以上 65%
17°C 26%
15°C 6.3%
16°C 4.1%
$113,963 交易量
$113,963 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
4%
17°C
26%
18°C或以上
65%
18°C或以上 65%
17°C 26%
15°C 6.3%
16°C 4.1%
$113,963 交易量
$113,963 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
4%
17°C
26%
18°C或以上
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a 20°C daytime high for Seoul on April 17 amid an ongoing early-spring heatwave, driving trader consensus to 70.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This reflects persistent high-pressure ridging ushering warm continental air and southerly winds, yielding temperatures 5–10°C above seasonal norms—recent days saw Seoul highs near 27–28°C, shattering April records since 1907 observations began. Clear skies and low precipitation probability support solar heating, though partial cloudiness in some global models like ECMWF tempers odds for 17°C at 25%. Resolution hinges on official readings at Incheon International Airport station; watch KMA's midday update for potential refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions