Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 20°C (39.5%) and 21°C (36.5%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts clustering daytime highs at 20-22°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast from an approaching weak front could limit solar heating to 20°C, while partial clearing and light easterly winds around 15 km/h allow boundary layer warming toward 21°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 19°C, but today's forecasted 21°C high signals mild recovery from prior cold snaps. Official resolution awaits maximum readings from stations like Xujiahui Observatory; check evening model updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日上海最高溫度?
4月17日上海最高溫度?
20°C 43%
21°C 33%
22°C 13.5%
19°C 13%
$55,362 交易量
$55,362 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
43%
21°C
33%
22°C
14%
23°C或以上
3%
20°C 43%
21°C 33%
22°C 13.5%
19°C 13%
$55,362 交易量
$55,362 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
43%
21°C
33%
22°C
14%
23°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 20°C (39.5%) and 21°C (36.5%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts clustering daytime highs at 20-22°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast from an approaching weak front could limit solar heating to 20°C, while partial clearing and light easterly winds around 15 km/h allow boundary layer warming toward 21°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 19°C, but today's forecasted 21°C high signals mild recovery from prior cold snaps. Official resolution awaits maximum readings from stations like Xujiahui Observatory; check evening model updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions