Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on April 17, reflecting Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance amid an approaching weather front that introduces forecast uncertainty. Recent observations show April 16 highs reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies, following a warm mid-April spell with peaks of 33°C on April 11 and 30–32°C earlier in the week, driven by a subsiding high-pressure system and above-average sea surface temperatures. The front, noted in CWA updates as of April 15, boosts shower probabilities to 30% with occasional clouds, potentially capping solar heating at 28°C or allowing brief clearing for 29–30°C peaks; model ensembles like ECMWF show slight spread. Resolution hinges on afternoon insolation versus precipitation timing, with final CWA bulletins expected before evening. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, underscoring this year's warmer baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日臺北氣溫最高?
4月17日臺北氣溫最高?
29°C 26%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
$27,432 交易量
$27,432 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
23%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 26%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
$27,432 交易量
$27,432 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
23%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on April 17, reflecting Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance amid an approaching weather front that introduces forecast uncertainty. Recent observations show April 16 highs reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies, following a warm mid-April spell with peaks of 33°C on April 11 and 30–32°C earlier in the week, driven by a subsiding high-pressure system and above-average sea surface temperatures. The front, noted in CWA updates as of April 15, boosts shower probabilities to 30% with occasional clouds, potentially capping solar heating at 28°C or allowing brief clearing for 29–30°C peaks; model ensembles like ECMWF show slight spread. Resolution hinges on afternoon insolation versus precipitation timing, with final CWA bulletins expected before evening. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, underscoring this year's warmer baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions