Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 38% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), driven by recent heavy rain events elevating month-to-date accumulations to 1.87 inches through April 14—surpassing the climatological mid-month normal of about 1.5 inches. Notable downpours, including 0.86 inches on April 14 and 1.06 inches prior, have shifted sentiment above the historical April average of 2.7 inches, with adjacent 2.5-3 inch (27.5%) and lower buckets also prominent amid forecast uncertainty. NOAA's spring outlook signals 40-50% chance of below-normal precipitation, but short-range National Weather Service models project intermittent showers through month-end, potentially adding 1-1.5 inches; watch daily climate summaries and ECMWF/GFS updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於四月份西雅圖的降水量?
四月份西雅圖的降水量?
3-3.5英吋 37%
2.5-3英吋 29%
少於2.5英吋 20%
3.5-4英吋 16.3%
$44,364 交易量
$44,364 交易量
少於2.5英吋
20%
2.5-3英吋
29%
3-3.5英吋
37%
3.5-4英吋
16%
4-4.5英吋
2%
4.5-5英吋
2%
>5英吋
3%
3-3.5英吋 37%
2.5-3英吋 29%
少於2.5英吋 20%
3.5-4英吋 16.3%
$44,364 交易量
$44,364 交易量
少於2.5英吋
20%
2.5-3英吋
29%
3-3.5英吋
37%
3.5-4英吋
16%
4-4.5英吋
2%
4.5-5英吋
2%
>5英吋
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 38% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), driven by recent heavy rain events elevating month-to-date accumulations to 1.87 inches through April 14—surpassing the climatological mid-month normal of about 1.5 inches. Notable downpours, including 0.86 inches on April 14 and 1.06 inches prior, have shifted sentiment above the historical April average of 2.7 inches, with adjacent 2.5-3 inch (27.5%) and lower buckets also prominent amid forecast uncertainty. NOAA's spring outlook signals 40-50% chance of below-normal precipitation, but short-range National Weather Service models project intermittent showers through month-end, potentially adding 1-1.5 inches; watch daily climate summaries and ECMWF/GFS updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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