Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 11?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,397 交易量
$54,397 交易量
2026-04-11
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,397 交易量
$54,397 交易量
2026-04-11
13°C or below
$1,933 交易量
No
14°C
$2,938 交易量
No
15°C
$3,879 交易量
No
16°C
$10,103 交易量
No
17°C
$3,255 交易量
No
18°C
$3,502 交易量
No
19°C
$4,971 交易量
No
20°C
$3,635 交易量
No
21°C
$3,493 交易量
No
22°C
$8,688 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$8,000 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
交易量
$54,397结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 1:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,397结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 1:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题