Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月10日米兰最高气温？
4月10日米兰最高气温？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 交易量
$140,932 交易量
2026-04-10
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 交易量
$140,932 交易量
2026-04-10
15°C或以下
$4,974 交易量
否
16°C
$4,859 交易量
否
17°C
$10,239 交易量
否
18°C
$5,559 交易量
否
19°C
$9,628 交易量
否
20°C
$20,683 交易量
否
21°C
$27,570 交易量
是
22°C
$17,646 交易量
否
23°C
$14,687 交易量
否
24°C
$15,098 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$9,989 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$140,932结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$140,932结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题