Tight probabilities clustered around 14–17°C reflect short-range forecast uncertainty for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, driven by divergent ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models amid a mild but variable spring pattern. Official Aeronautica Militare guidance projects a 19°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds (17–20 km/h), while Meteolive anticipates 17°C maximum due to 24–61% rain chances potentially reducing insolation. Key differentiators include morning shower timing, cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and urban effects at Milano Linate Airport, the official measurement site. April climatology averages 17°C highs; traders eye 12Z model updates and real-time observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
15°C 30%
17°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
$11,626 交易量
$11,626 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
28%
15°C 30%
17°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
$11,626 交易量
$11,626 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Tight probabilities clustered around 14–17°C reflect short-range forecast uncertainty for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, driven by divergent ensemble outputs from ECMWF and GFS models amid a mild but variable spring pattern. Official Aeronautica Militare guidance projects a 19°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds (17–20 km/h), while Meteolive anticipates 17°C maximum due to 24–61% rain chances potentially reducing insolation. Key differentiators include morning shower timing, cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and urban effects at Milano Linate Airport, the official measurement site. April climatology averages 17°C highs; traders eye 12Z model updates and real-time observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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