Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment Canada forecasts, with highs for Toronto on April 16 clustering around 19–20°C amid a mild upper-level ridge pattern ushering above-normal temperatures (normals ~12°C max) but capped by an approaching frontal system bringing 60% chance of showers and cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on cloud cover timing—persistent overcast or afternoon precipitation favors 19°C or below, while morning sun breaks could push peaks to 20–21°C via enhanced surface heating. Recent updates from April 14 issuances slightly cooled prior warmer guidance (21–23°C), emphasizing inherent short-range forecast variability; resolution awaits official Wunderground observations from the Toronto station through midnight April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 16?
20°C 30%
19°C 25%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
25%
20°C
30%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 30%
19°C 25%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
25%
20°C
30%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Environment Canada forecasts, with highs for Toronto on April 16 clustering around 19–20°C amid a mild upper-level ridge pattern ushering above-normal temperatures (normals ~12°C max) but capped by an approaching frontal system bringing 60% chance of showers and cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on cloud cover timing—persistent overcast or afternoon precipitation favors 19°C or below, while morning sun breaks could push peaks to 20–21°C via enhanced surface heating. Recent updates from April 14 issuances slightly cooled prior warmer guidance (21–23°C), emphasizing inherent short-range forecast variability; resolution awaits official Wunderground observations from the Toronto station through midnight April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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