Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS tightly cluster Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring air masses with light winds and partial cloud cover, driving trader sentiment toward these outcomes with 21°C leading at 35% implied probability. Recent 00Z model runs show convergence after earlier cooler biases, reflecting improved consensus on boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation amid above-average April conditions (historical highs average 15-17°C). Differentiation hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloudiness and urban heat island effects at official measurement stations like Charles de Gaulle. Watch 12Z updates from Paris time this afternoon for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 aprile?
21°C 35%
20°C 32%
22°C 21%
19°C 11%
$23,296 Vol.
$23,296 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
32%
21°C
35%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
1%
21°C 35%
20°C 32%
22°C 21%
19°C 11%
$23,296 Vol.
$23,296 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
32%
21°C
35%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS tightly cluster Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring air masses with light winds and partial cloud cover, driving trader sentiment toward these outcomes with 21°C leading at 35% implied probability. Recent 00Z model runs show convergence after earlier cooler biases, reflecting improved consensus on boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation amid above-average April conditions (historical highs average 15-17°C). Differentiation hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloudiness and urban heat island effects at official measurement stations like Charles de Gaulle. Watch 12Z updates from Paris time this afternoon for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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