Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 94.5% in California's 52nd Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's dominant position in this Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report, with a D+13 partisan voter index. Vargas, with over $424,000 in receipts through March 31, faces minimal opposition: Democratic primary challenger Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Republican Jeff Belle, a business owner showing no fundraising. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, the field's weakness and district history favor Democratic advancement to the November 3 general, likely securing the seat. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, Belle's surprise primary surge, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,005 거래량
$39,005 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$39,005 거래량
$39,005 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$28,678 거래량
95%
공화당
$10,327 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 94.5% in California's 52nd Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's dominant position in this Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report, with a D+13 partisan voter index. Vargas, with over $424,000 in receipts through March 31, faces minimal opposition: Democratic primary challenger Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Republican Jeff Belle, a business owner showing no fundraising. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, the field's weakness and district history favor Democratic advancement to the November 3 general, likely securing the seat. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, Belle's surprise primary surge, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$39,005종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 94.5% in California's 52nd Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's dominant position in this Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report, with a D+13 partisan voter index. Vargas, with over $424,000 in receipts through March 31, faces minimal opposition: Democratic primary challenger Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Republican Jeff Belle, a business owner showing no fundraising. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, the field's weakness and district history favor Democratic advancement to the November 3 general, likely securing the seat. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, Belle's surprise primary surge, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,005종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 94.5% in California's 52nd Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's dominant position in this Solid Democratic seat per Cook Political Report, with a D+13 partisan voter index. Vargas, with over $424,000 in receipts through March 31, faces minimal opposition: Democratic primary challenger Deborah Calhoun Rhodes and Republican Jeff Belle, a business owner showing no fundraising. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, the field's weakness and district history favor Democratic advancement to the November 3 general, likely securing the seat. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, Belle's surprise primary surge, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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