Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District, a northwest Chicago seat that leans heavily Democratic following post-2020 redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 17 primaries, locking in a matchup with no primary volatility to shift trader views. Historical results, partisan voter registration, and independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic underpin the current 94 percent-plus consensus, as the district has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising in the area further reinforces this positioning. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,465 거래량
$36,465 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
3%
$36,465 거래량
$36,465 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,886 거래량
94%
공화당
$21,579 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District, a northwest Chicago seat that leans heavily Democratic following post-2020 redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 17 primaries, locking in a matchup with no primary volatility to shift trader views. Historical results, partisan voter registration, and independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic underpin the current 94 percent-plus consensus, as the district has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising in the area further reinforces this positioning. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,465종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District, a northwest Chicago seat that leans heavily Democratic following post-2020 redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 17 primaries, locking in a matchup with no primary volatility to shift trader views. Historical results, partisan voter registration, and independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic underpin the current 94 percent-plus consensus, as the district has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising in the area further reinforces this positioning. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,465종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District, a northwest Chicago seat that leans heavily Democratic following post-2020 redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 17 primaries, locking in a matchup with no primary volatility to shift trader views. Historical results, partisan voter registration, and independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic underpin the current 94 percent-plus consensus, as the district has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Limited Republican infrastructure or fundraising in the area further reinforces this positioning. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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