The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary results have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Angel Oakley secured the Republican nomination in an uncontested contest. The district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs, delivered Ramirez 67 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. With general election day set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or district boundaries since the last cycle, the implied probability aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House seats. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,465 거래량
$36,465 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
3%
$36,465 거래량
$36,465 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,886 거래량
94%
공화당
$21,579 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary results have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Angel Oakley secured the Republican nomination in an uncontested contest. The district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs, delivered Ramirez 67 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. With general election day set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or district boundaries since the last cycle, the implied probability aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House seats. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,465종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary results have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Angel Oakley secured the Republican nomination in an uncontested contest. The district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs, delivered Ramirez 67 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. With general election day set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or district boundaries since the last cycle, the implied probability aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House seats. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,465종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean and the March 2026 primary results have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Angel Oakley secured the Republican nomination in an uncontested contest. The district, anchored in Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs, delivered Ramirez 67 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover support. With general election day set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or district boundaries since the last cycle, the implied probability aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House seats. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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