Incumbent Rep. Brad Schneider's decisive March 17 primary victory over challenger Morgan Coghill solidified Democratic trader consensus at 93% for the IL-10 House general election on November 3, 2026, in this solidly Democratic north Chicago suburban district. Schneider, seeking a seventh term, benefits from strong historical margins after competitive early races, while Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advanced unopposed, signaling limited GOP investment or recruitment in a seat rated Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report. No recent polling shows competitiveness, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage and district fundamentals. Upsets could arise from Schneider scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Lambrecht fundraising surge, though such shifts remain low-probability absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$5,505 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,312 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Schneider's decisive March 17 primary victory over challenger Morgan Coghill solidified Democratic trader consensus at 93% for the IL-10 House general election on November 3, 2026, in this solidly Democratic north Chicago suburban district. Schneider, seeking a seventh term, benefits from strong historical margins after competitive early races, while Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advanced unopposed, signaling limited GOP investment or recruitment in a seat rated Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report. No recent polling shows competitiveness, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage and district fundamentals. Upsets could arise from Schneider scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Lambrecht fundraising surge, though such shifts remain low-probability absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$6,817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Schneider's decisive March 17 primary victory over challenger Morgan Coghill solidified Democratic trader consensus at 93% for the IL-10 House general election on November 3, 2026, in this solidly Democratic north Chicago suburban district. Schneider, seeking a seventh term, benefits from strong historical margins after competitive early races, while Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advanced unopposed, signaling limited GOP investment or recruitment in a seat rated Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report. No recent polling shows competitiveness, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage and district fundamentals. Upsets could arise from Schneider scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Lambrecht fundraising surge, though such shifts remain low-probability absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Schneider's decisive March 17 primary victory over challenger Morgan Coghill solidified Democratic trader consensus at 93% for the IL-10 House general election on November 3, 2026, in this solidly Democratic north Chicago suburban district. Schneider, seeking a seventh term, benefits from strong historical margins after competitive early races, while Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advanced unopposed, signaling limited GOP investment or recruitment in a seat rated Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report. No recent polling shows competitiveness, with odds reflecting incumbency advantage and district fundamentals. Upsets could arise from Schneider scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or Lambrecht fundraising surge, though such shifts remain low-probability absent major catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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