The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei (R) in February 2026, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 76.5%, reflecting the district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here this century, with recent margins exceeding 15 points. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, Inside Elections Solid Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in this rural northern Nevada seat. Crowded primaries on June 9 feature 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats with modest fundraising, but absent polls, odds hinge on historical base rates and lack of Democratic breakthroughs, with general election nominees to be determined.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,805 거래량
$12,805 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
23%
$12,805 거래량
$12,805 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,737 거래량
77%
민주당
$3,067 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei (R) in February 2026, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 76.5%, reflecting the district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here this century, with recent margins exceeding 15 points. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, Inside Elections Solid Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in this rural northern Nevada seat. Crowded primaries on June 9 feature 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats with modest fundraising, but absent polls, odds hinge on historical base rates and lack of Democratic breakthroughs, with general election nominees to be determined.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$12,805종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei (R) in February 2026, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 76.5%, reflecting the district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here this century, with recent margins exceeding 15 points. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, Inside Elections Solid Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in this rural northern Nevada seat. Crowded primaries on June 9 feature 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats with modest fundraising, but absent polls, odds hinge on historical base rates and lack of Democratic breakthroughs, with general election nominees to be determined.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,805종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by retiring Rep. Mark Amodei (R) in February 2026, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 76.5%, reflecting the district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP dominance—no Democrat has won here this century, with recent margins exceeding 15 points. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, Inside Elections Solid Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in this rural northern Nevada seat. Crowded primaries on June 9 feature 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats with modest fundraising, but absent polls, odds hinge on historical base rates and lack of Democratic breakthroughs, with general election nominees to be determined.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문