The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn crowded primary fields ahead of the June 9 vote, yet the district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican control since its creation continue to anchor trader consensus behind the GOP nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest recent opening in northern Nevada and have fielded multiple candidates including self-funders and former state legislators, but the structural partisan tilt and lack of public polling showing a competitive general election race keep the implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift positioning before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,944 거래량
$19,944 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
72%
민주당
26%
$19,944 거래량
$19,944 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,420 거래량
72%
민주당
$8,524 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn crowded primary fields ahead of the June 9 vote, yet the district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican control since its creation continue to anchor trader consensus behind the GOP nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest recent opening in northern Nevada and have fielded multiple candidates including self-funders and former state legislators, but the structural partisan tilt and lack of public polling showing a competitive general election race keep the implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$19,944종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn crowded primary fields ahead of the June 9 vote, yet the district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican control since its creation continue to anchor trader consensus behind the GOP nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest recent opening in northern Nevada and have fielded multiple candidates including self-funders and former state legislators, but the structural partisan tilt and lack of public polling showing a competitive general election race keep the implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,944종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei’s retirement has drawn crowded primary fields ahead of the June 9 vote, yet the district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican control since its creation continue to anchor trader consensus behind the GOP nominee. Democrats view the vacancy as their strongest recent opening in northern Nevada and have fielded multiple candidates including self-funders and former state legislators, but the structural partisan tilt and lack of public polling showing a competitive general election race keep the implied probability of a Democratic victory near 28 percent. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift positioning before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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