**Incumbent Rep. Michael Rulli (R) holds a dominant edge in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, rated R+17 by Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for Republican victory in the November 3 general election.** The district's strong GOP lean, reinforced by 2025 redistricting, aligns with Rulli's unblemished record since winning special and general elections in 2024. In the May 5 Republican primary, a March Stark County Board ruling rejected a ballot challenge against his lone opponent, Jullie Kelley, clearing Rulli's renomination path. Democrats contend with a fragmented primary featuring six candidates and no standout fundraiser or poll leader, underscoring structural barriers to an upset amid Ohio's competitive statewide midterm races. Late scandals or national waves could shift dynamics, but current positioning favors the GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,410 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$3,138 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Michael Rulli (R) holds a dominant edge in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, rated R+17 by Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for Republican victory in the November 3 general election.** The district's strong GOP lean, reinforced by 2025 redistricting, aligns with Rulli's unblemished record since winning special and general elections in 2024. In the May 5 Republican primary, a March Stark County Board ruling rejected a ballot challenge against his lone opponent, Jullie Kelley, clearing Rulli's renomination path. Democrats contend with a fragmented primary featuring six candidates and no standout fundraiser or poll leader, underscoring structural barriers to an upset amid Ohio's competitive statewide midterm races. Late scandals or national waves could shift dynamics, but current positioning favors the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$4,548종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Michael Rulli (R) holds a dominant edge in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, rated R+17 by Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for Republican victory in the November 3 general election.** The district's strong GOP lean, reinforced by 2025 redistricting, aligns with Rulli's unblemished record since winning special and general elections in 2024. In the May 5 Republican primary, a March Stark County Board ruling rejected a ballot challenge against his lone opponent, Jullie Kelley, clearing Rulli's renomination path. Democrats contend with a fragmented primary featuring six candidates and no standout fundraiser or poll leader, underscoring structural barriers to an upset amid Ohio's competitive statewide midterm races. Late scandals or national waves could shift dynamics, but current positioning favors the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,548종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Michael Rulli (R) holds a dominant edge in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, rated R+17 by Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for Republican victory in the November 3 general election.** The district's strong GOP lean, reinforced by 2025 redistricting, aligns with Rulli's unblemished record since winning special and general elections in 2024. In the May 5 Republican primary, a March Stark County Board ruling rejected a ballot challenge against his lone opponent, Jullie Kelley, clearing Rulli's renomination path. Democrats contend with a fragmented primary featuring six candidates and no standout fundraiser or poll leader, underscoring structural barriers to an upset amid Ohio's competitive statewide midterm races. Late scandals or national waves could shift dynamics, but current positioning favors the GOP hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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