Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with a decisive 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on her side. The district's established R+16 partisan lean, consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, and Rulli's prior 33-point general election margin underpin trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Analysts rate the seat Solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from national political waves, major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley region ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,964 거래량
$22,964 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$22,964 거래량
$22,964 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$11,939 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$11,025 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with a decisive 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on her side. The district's established R+16 partisan lean, consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, and Rulli's prior 33-point general election margin underpin trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Analysts rate the seat Solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from national political waves, major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley region ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$22,964종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with a decisive 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on her side. The district's established R+16 partisan lean, consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, and Rulli's prior 33-point general election margin underpin trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Analysts rate the seat Solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from national political waves, major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley region ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,964종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with a decisive 76 percent of the vote in Ohio's 6th Congressional District, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on her side. The district's established R+16 partisan lean, consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, and Rulli's prior 33-point general election margin underpin trader consensus around a 91 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Analysts rate the seat Solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from national political waves, major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley region ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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