Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,492 거래량
$10,492 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$10,492 거래량
$10,492 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,967 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$3,525 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$10,492종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,492종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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