Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race following her unopposed May 2026 primary win. The Philadelphia suburban district, encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County, has shown consistent Democratic preference, with Scanlon securing 65 percent in the prior general election. Republican nominee Nick Manganaro advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that aligns with broader Philadelphia-area voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the incumbent's established fundraising base, committee roles, and the district's partisan composition. A national partisan shift, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong challenger mobilization could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited pathways for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,643 거래량
$21,643 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
6%
$21,643 거래량
$21,643 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,361 거래량
93%
공화당
$12,282 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race following her unopposed May 2026 primary win. The Philadelphia suburban district, encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County, has shown consistent Democratic preference, with Scanlon securing 65 percent in the prior general election. Republican nominee Nick Manganaro advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that aligns with broader Philadelphia-area voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the incumbent's established fundraising base, committee roles, and the district's partisan composition. A national partisan shift, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong challenger mobilization could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited pathways for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$21,643종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race following her unopposed May 2026 primary win. The Philadelphia suburban district, encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County, has shown consistent Democratic preference, with Scanlon securing 65 percent in the prior general election. Republican nominee Nick Manganaro advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that aligns with broader Philadelphia-area voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the incumbent's established fundraising base, committee roles, and the district's partisan composition. A national partisan shift, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong challenger mobilization could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited pathways for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,643종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race following her unopposed May 2026 primary win. The Philadelphia suburban district, encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County, has shown consistent Democratic preference, with Scanlon securing 65 percent in the prior general election. Republican nominee Nick Manganaro advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that aligns with broader Philadelphia-area voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the incumbent's established fundraising base, committee roles, and the district's partisan composition. A national partisan shift, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong challenger mobilization could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited pathways for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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