Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 34%
11°C 31%
13°C 21%
14°C 6.5%
$12,355 交易量
$12,355 交易量
9°C或以下
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
31%
12°C
34%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 31%
13°C 21%
14°C 6.5%
$12,355 交易量
$12,355 交易量
9°C或以下
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
31%
12°C
34%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions