Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 12 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 19°C and 20°C as co-leaders at equal implied probabilities. This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by evolving cloud cover, sea breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, and boundary layer stability amid a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Mid-April climatology in Busan averages highs of 18–20°C, with recent days showing similar mild trends; historical data indicate rare exceedances beyond 22°C. Traders await KMA's final hourly updates overnight, which could refine the peak within 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 12?
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
21°C 15%
18°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
16°C or below
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
15%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
21°C 15%
18°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
16°C or below
$408 交易量
3%
17°C
$173 交易量
4%
18°C
$189 交易量
13%
19°C
$182 交易量
36%
20°C
$169 交易量
36%
21°C
$101 交易量
15%
22°C
$988 交易量
4%
23°C
$720 交易量
3%
24°C
$685 交易量
2%
25°C
$257 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$318 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 12 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 19°C and 20°C as co-leaders at equal implied probabilities. This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by evolving cloud cover, sea breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, and boundary layer stability amid a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Mid-April climatology in Busan averages highs of 18–20°C, with recent days showing similar mild trends; historical data indicate rare exceedances beyond 22°C. Traders await KMA's final hourly updates overnight, which could refine the peak within 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,190結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 12 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 19°C and 20°C as co-leaders at equal implied probabilities. This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by evolving cloud cover, sea breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, and boundary layer stability amid a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Mid-April climatology in Busan averages highs of 18–20°C, with recent days showing similar mild trends; historical data indicate rare exceedances beyond 22°C. Traders await KMA's final hourly updates overnight, which could refine the peak within 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,190結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 12 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 19°C and 20°C as co-leaders at equal implied probabilities. This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by evolving cloud cover, sea breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, and boundary layer stability amid a mild high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Mid-April climatology in Busan averages highs of 18–20°C, with recent days showing similar mild trends; historical data indicate rare exceedances beyond 22°C. Traders await KMA's final hourly updates overnight, which could refine the peak within 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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