Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high temperature clustering around 82-85°F on April 17, aligning with trader consensus where 82-83°F holds a 40.5% implied probability and 84-85°F follows at 27.5%, reflecting model agreement from GFS and other guidance amid a building high-pressure ridge and southerly winds. Above-normal spring temperatures per NOAA's outlook, combined with recent observational data showing highs near 88°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies, support this positioning, though slight uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clouds or isolated showers ahead of a Friday night cold front. Historical April averages hover around 78°F, making these outcomes slightly warmer than climatology; watch for evening forecast updates as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日達拉斯的最高溫度?
4月17日達拉斯的最高溫度?
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 8%
$19,615 交易量
$19,615 交易量
華氏77度或以下
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 8%
$19,615 交易量
$19,615 交易量
華氏77度或以下
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate a high temperature clustering around 82-85°F on April 17, aligning with trader consensus where 82-83°F holds a 40.5% implied probability and 84-85°F follows at 27.5%, reflecting model agreement from GFS and other guidance amid a building high-pressure ridge and southerly winds. Above-normal spring temperatures per NOAA's outlook, combined with recent observational data showing highs near 88°F on April 16 under mostly sunny skies, support this positioning, though slight uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clouds or isolated showers ahead of a Friday night cold front. Historical April averages hover around 78°F, making these outcomes slightly warmer than climatology; watch for evening forecast updates as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions