Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a Helsinki high of 12°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts and ECMWF model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in clear skies and light winds conducive to daytime warming. This builds on April 11's observed maximum of 9°C—already surpassing the mid-April climatological average of 8°C—amid dry continental airflow from the east. Ensemble models project peaks around 12–13°C by mid-afternoon, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty below 11°C (20.5% odds). Watch FMI's hourly updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Kaisaniemi station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基4月13日的最高溫度？
赫爾辛基4月13日的最高溫度？
12°C或以上 68%
11°C 21%
10°C 3.9%
9°C 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
21%
12°C或以上
68%
12°C或以上 68%
11°C 21%
10°C 3.9%
9°C 1.8%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
2°C或以下
$465 交易量
<1%
3°C
$640 交易量
<1%
4°C
$540 交易量
<1%
5°C
$553 交易量
<1%
6°C
$551 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,490 交易量
1%
8°C
$1,147 交易量
1%
9°C
$1,131 交易量
2%
10°C
$1,175 交易量
4%
11°C
$641 交易量
21%
12°C或以上
$1,132 交易量
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a Helsinki high of 12°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts and ECMWF model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in clear skies and light winds conducive to daytime warming. This builds on April 11's observed maximum of 9°C—already surpassing the mid-April climatological average of 8°C—amid dry continental airflow from the east. Ensemble models project peaks around 12–13°C by mid-afternoon, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty below 11°C (20.5% odds). Watch FMI's hourly updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Kaisaniemi station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a Helsinki high of 12°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts and ECMWF model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in clear skies and light winds conducive to daytime warming. This builds on April 11's observed maximum of 9°C—already surpassing the mid-April climatological average of 8°C—amid dry continental airflow from the east. Ensemble models project peaks around 12–13°C by mid-afternoon, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty below 11°C (20.5% odds). Watch FMI's hourly updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Kaisaniemi station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a Helsinki high of 12°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts and ECMWF model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in clear skies and light winds conducive to daytime warming. This builds on April 11's observed maximum of 9°C—already surpassing the mid-April climatological average of 8°C—amid dry continental airflow from the east. Ensemble models project peaks around 12–13°C by mid-afternoon, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty below 11°C (20.5% odds). Watch FMI's hourly updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Kaisaniemi station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions