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4月17日香港最高溫度?

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4月17日香港最高溫度?

29°C 53%

28°C 23%

30°C 17%

31°C或以上 3.9%

Polymarket
最新

$76,101 交易量

29°C 53%

28°C 23%

30°C 17%

31°C或以上 3.9%

Polymarket
最新

$76,101 交易量

21°C或以下

$15,684 交易量

<1%

22°C

$7,066 交易量

<1%

23°C

$13,041 交易量

<1%

24°C

$7,611 交易量

<1%

25°C

$6,598 交易量

<1%

26°C

$5,486 交易量

1%

27°C

$6,287 交易量

3%

28°C

$4,654 交易量

23%

29°C

$3,535 交易量

53%

30°C

$3,463 交易量

17%

31°C或以上

$2,796 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 amid sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and a few afternoon showers under a southerly airstream, anchoring trader sentiment with 29°C leading at 52% implied probability. This aligns with today's observed high of 30.1°C at the Observatory amid above-normal April warmth forecasted for 2026, where seasonal outlooks predict normal to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent subtropical high influence. Nearby stations like Sheung Shui reached 31.1°C today, but model consensus tempers tomorrow's peak due to higher humidity (70–95%) and medium-low rain risk; updated evening forecasts from HKO could refine odds as resolution nears. Historical April highs average 26–28°C, underscoring the mild uncertainty in urban heat buildup.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76,101
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 amid sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and a few afternoon showers under a southerly airstream, anchoring trader sentiment with 29°C leading at 52% implied probability. This aligns with today's observed high of 30.1°C at the Observatory amid above-normal April warmth forecasted for 2026, where seasonal outlooks predict normal to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent subtropical high influence. Nearby stations like Sheung Shui reached 31.1°C today, but model consensus tempers tomorrow's peak due to higher humidity (70–95%) and medium-low rain risk; updated evening forecasts from HKO could refine odds as resolution nears. Historical April highs average 26–28°C, underscoring the mild uncertainty in urban heat buildup.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76,101
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月17日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 53%, followed by "28°C" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月17日香港最高溫度?" has generated $76.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月17日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月17日香港最高溫度?" is "29°C" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月17日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.