The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 amid sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and a few afternoon showers under a southerly airstream, anchoring trader sentiment with 29°C leading at 52% implied probability. This aligns with today's observed high of 30.1°C at the Observatory amid above-normal April warmth forecasted for 2026, where seasonal outlooks predict normal to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent subtropical high influence. Nearby stations like Sheung Shui reached 31.1°C today, but model consensus tempers tomorrow's peak due to higher humidity (70–95%) and medium-low rain risk; updated evening forecasts from HKO could refine odds as resolution nears. Historical April highs average 26–28°C, underscoring the mild uncertainty in urban heat buildup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日香港最高溫度?
4月17日香港最高溫度?
29°C 53%
28°C 23%
30°C 17%
31°C或以上 3.9%
$76,101 交易量
$76,101 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
23%
29°C
53%
30°C
17%
31°C或以上
4%
29°C 53%
28°C 23%
30°C 17%
31°C或以上 3.9%
$76,101 交易量
$76,101 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
23%
29°C
53%
30°C
17%
31°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 amid sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and a few afternoon showers under a southerly airstream, anchoring trader sentiment with 29°C leading at 52% implied probability. This aligns with today's observed high of 30.1°C at the Observatory amid above-normal April warmth forecasted for 2026, where seasonal outlooks predict normal to above-normal temperatures driven by persistent subtropical high influence. Nearby stations like Sheung Shui reached 31.1°C today, but model consensus tempers tomorrow's peak due to higher humidity (70–95%) and medium-low rain risk; updated evening forecasts from HKO could refine odds as resolution nears. Historical April highs average 26–28°C, underscoring the mild uncertainty in urban heat buildup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions