PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions