The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 9%
最新
$11,378 交易量
最新
$11,378 交易量
2026-04-17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
29%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 9%
最新
$11,378 交易量
最新
$11,378 交易量
2026-04-17
25°C or below
$1,208 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,787 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,021 交易量
6%
28°C
$390 交易量
29%
29°C
$522 交易量
34%
30°C
$307 交易量
27%
31°C
$712 交易量
9%
32°C
$825 交易量
3%
33°C
$730 交易量
1%
34°C
$733 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$2,177 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$11,378結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,378結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThe Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions